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Thinking about purchasing New Iraqi Dinar? Read this for some valuable information.
The key behind whether or not your New Iraqi Dinar purchase proves to be a worthwhile investment is contingent upon future economic and sociopolitical stability in Iraq.
It is difficult to make an accurate prediction concerning Iraq's future due to a great number of variables involved. Simple and educated speculation allows
one to obtain a clear picture of the potential by ruling out those scenarios that have low probabilities of success.
The first scenario to eliminate is the notion that United States troops will suddenly leave their work in Iraq and instability and chaos in the region would follow.
George Bush, after his re-election as the US President, made it clear to all Americans that our troops will not leave Iraqi soil until peace and stability have been secured. He has shared his military objectives about our troops, the Iraqi government, and the maintenance of peace in Iraq. These details makes it highly unlikely that American troops will leave Iraqi soil for any reason other than success.
The second false scenario concerns the two Muslim factions of Iraq, the Shiites and the Sunnis. Some have voiced their fear that rebels from these groups may join forces and overrule Iraq's pro-American government and defeat our the military forces of our allies. The results of the Iraqi elections of this year have proven that the likelihood of this scenario is extremely slim. America and its allies have remained very strong throughout the exercise of the Iraqi political process. Although the war in Iraq will probably last for a considerable length of time, the knowledge, training, and technological advantages offered by America and its allies are virtually impossible to defeat. Despite the vehement opposition to the present occupation felt by the Iraqi rebels, they lack the resources, knowledge, and endurance to put up a strong fight. It is unlikely that they will receive substantial help from their Arab neighbors.
Satellite and road checkpoints are only a few forms of detection that would unmask any efforts of this kind. The other Middle Eastern countries are quite aware of the hefty price to them if they were caught pursuing any such activities. In short, we can say with confidence that this second scenario can be eliminated.
A third scenario given considerable attention concerns itself with the lack of economic resources. Some fear that the depletion of economic resources faced by the United States or its allies would force the withdrawal of our troops from Iraq. Last year, our fiscal and commercial deficits were each approximately half of a trillion dollars, and American economic recovery this year is still not solid. Nevertheless, Iraq’s oil production, even with the periodic sabotages by the insurgent forces, remains more than sufficient to sustain allied armed forces and their expenses, as well as to sustain the recovery of Iraq.
The elimination of these three major scenarios allows us to predict the future of Iraq with a good deal of certainty. We shall not deny the fact that the country will likely suffer from these years of struggle. By the end of the war, Iraq will have strength enough to stand on its own and begin reaping the benefits of its reconstruction.
Other variables related to the New Iraqi Dinar remain, and one should take them into consideration. For example, some investors worry that an excessive purchase of the new currency by foreign entities could lower its potential value. Lessons from history show us that it is possible for a country to recover from the challenge of inflation and still meet its financial responsibilities.
Iraq has the second largest oil reserve in the world. The era of a world with cheap oil has come to an end. Economic production based on hydrogen or some other forms of energy at a large scale is still not in sight. Iraq is endowed with more than 116 billion barrels of oil. The country has other reserves in surplus as well. This provides an enormous economic advantage. The country is sitting on an untapped gold mine that will allow it to pay Dinar holders with dollars once stability has been reached.
Of course, the Central Bank of Iraq may not be strong
enough to meet this challenge, and inflation could still
occur due to a large flow of Dinar flooding the
economy. Foreign banks and financial institutions like the
American Monetary Fund will likely be more than
willing to lend billions of dollars to Iraq to help
solve their financial predicament. The Central
Bank of Iraq could then lift the excessive Dinar off the market by purchasing it back. Should the incoming flow of Dinar arrive in sudden waves or at unpredictable intervals of time, The Central Bank of Iraq would still have the option to borrow more money or restructure its external debt.
One should keep in mind that, if the war in Iraq lasts much longer than expected, some Dinar owners may choose to get rid of their Dinar assets, even at a loss. For those that who are patient and wait for the new future of success in Iraq to emerge, there is little doubt that they will be rewarded with a healthy financial gain.
Foreign debt in Iraq has diminished considerably since Russia and France have forgiven the majority of it. Therefore, the financial debt owed to the Dinar holders is more affordable by the Iraqi government. This is a government that holds enormous oil resources in a world where each barrel of oil is bound to become more expensive every month. Giants like China, India, Europe, and the United States will inevitably sustain their oil demand to fulfill their own economic requirements.
If you have been hesitant about purchasing New Iraqi Dinar, a closer examination of several variables indicate that the future outlook of Iraq appears bright and that there only a very slim chance of losing your investment. For whatever it is worth, you are investing in a good cause.
There will always be events we that we cannot predict, such as the possibility of a larger war in the Middle East, but as with any venture, we hope these unlikely events do not happen.
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